CLOUD
AWS Cost Planning and Forecasting
Forecast AWS spend and unlock smarter cloud investments.
Being able to accurately forecast and budget is critical for any organisation.
But cloud services generate a level of financial nervousness and often “sticker shock” when the bill is much larger than expected – for no apparent reason.
StableLogic offers a robust, end-to-end methodology to support AWS customers in accurate cloud planning, forecasting, and value realisation.
We combine industry-recognised FinOps practices with our deep AWS expertise to deliver data-driven insights that guide IT and financial leaders in making smarter cloud investment decisions.
Forecast AWS costs accurately
Avoid cloud bill surprises
Maximise cloud investments
Optimise TCO pre and post
Align spend to business value
Enable confident budgeting
FEATURED INSIGHT
Optimising Cloud Services Across Different Teams
Cloud adoption has surged across industries, transforming business operations and data management. This trend is driven by cloud computing's scalability, flexibility, and cost-effectiveness. From startups to large enterprises, companies migrate to the cloud to leverage its...
The foundation of effective cloud financial management is accurate, data-driven forecasting.
At StableLogic, we combine deep AWS expertise with proven FinOps practices to give you full visibility into your cloud spend—past, present, and future.
We help organisations plan with precision, align cloud investments to business value, and eliminate financial surprises before they happen. With robust modelling, tailored reporting, and strategic guidance, your AWS spend becomes not just predictable—but powerful.
StableLogic enables customers to develop precise and strategic forecasts for both pre-migration planning and ongoing optimisation:
- Customer IT Inventory Discovery & Business Case Development:
We begin with a structured discovery phase, mapping on-premises and cloud workloads, infrastructure footprints, and business requirements. This helps us create a detailed current-state baseline and identify transformation opportunities. - Pre/Post Migration TCO Modelling:
Using a combination of AWS Migration Evaluator, Application Discovery Service, and our own financial modelling templates, we help build detailed TCO comparisons. These analyses consider compute/storage/networking footprints, licensing costs, labour efficiency gains, and AWS pricing models (e.g., Reserved Instances, Savings Plans). - Bottom-up Forecasting for Net-New Workloads:
For new projects or greenfield applications, we build workload-level forecasts based on planned infrastructure design, estimated consumption, and scaling patterns. - Demand Driver-Based Forecasting:
We incorporate unit economics and business demand drivers (e.g., cost per transaction, per user, per GB processed) to forecast costs under different usage growth scenarios. - Optimised Pricing Models:
We guide customers through choosing the best-fit AWS pricing options — including On-Demand vs. Reserved Instances, EC2 Spot, Savings Plans, and Graviton adoption — to optimise for long-term efficiency and ROI.
We help customers define and track business value metrics beyond simple cost reduction, such as:
- Improved agility and deployment speed
- Reduction in technical debt
- Service reliability improvements
- Acceleration of innovation cycles
Our reporting frameworks include qualitative and quantitative success measures tied to business goals, such as improved customer satisfaction, revenue enablement, or compliance posture improvements post-migration.
We use proven processes to identify cost savings, cost avoidance and wider productive savings. In addition, we use AWS tools to accurately monitor and prove the delivery of these savings.
StableLogic leverages predictive modelling approaches to forecast future AWS spend with high confidence:
- Historical Trend Analysis:
We analyse at least 12 months of trailing cost data (TTM) using AWS CUR and Cost Explorer to identify seasonality, usage anomalies, and growth patterns. - Linear Regression & Machine Learning Models:
Using tools such as Amazon Forecast, Python-based models, or third-party FinOps platforms, we build predictive models that estimate month-over-month or quarterly/yearly costs based on historical usage and growth trends. - We also implement variance analysis frameworks to measure actual vs. forecasted spend and explain deviations to stakeholders.
We provide customers with:
- 12+ months of cost breakdowns by account, service, region, and business unit using CUR data.
- CUDOS dashboards or custom QuickSight visualisations to track usage patterns, key contributors to cost growth, and efficiency opportunities. We also support Power BI, Grafana and Tableau dashboards and are very happy to be flexible to meet our customers requirements.
- Regular FinOps reviews that analyse usage spikes, idle resources, and rightsizing opportunities.
"Cloud forecasting isn’t just about predicting costs—it’s about empowering businesses to make confident, data-driven decisions that fuel growth and innovation."
Craig Robinson
CEO, StableLogic
Connect with the StableLogic AWS FinOps team.
⸻ FAQs ⸻
Our forecasts are grounded in real usage data, historical trends, and proven FinOps modelling techniques. We use tools like AWS CUR, Amazon Forecast, and our own financial templates to deliver reliable, data-driven predictions tailored to your environment.
Yes! We support pre-migration planning with detailed TCO analysis, workload discovery, and pricing model comparisons—ensuring your business case is evidence-based, comprehensive, and aligned with real outcomes.
We work with AWS-native tools like Cost Explorer, CUDOS, and QuickSight, as well as third-party platforms like Power BI, Tableau, and Grafana. Our goal is to meet you where you are—and deliver cost insights in a format your team can action.